Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. His career just does not stack up to that level. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. None. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. 34. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. Ive covered the Mets for a variety of outlets since 1997. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. Outside of Clayton Kershaw, he may be the most dominant pitcher in the game right now; FanGraphs credits Scherzer with more WAR than any non-Kershaw pitcher (25.9) since 2013. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Ten Position Players Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. But if it wasn't for . Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. Look at that. Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. The hot air balloon . Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. It goes something like this . Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. Adam Wainwright answers if he thinks he's a Hall of Famer | Foul No Gavin Lux -- big problem. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Theyll defer. Not an injury issue? Strikeouts are booming like never before. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Its early in spring training. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. Adam Wainwright - Age, Bio, Personal Life, Family & Stats - CelebsAges On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. He is known for being a Baseball Player. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. 2020 has given us many. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). 55 votes, 66 comments. Velocity? After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. His monitor score is only an 87. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Ad Choices Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Look at that. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. I found Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. by Retrosheet. Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. Adam Parrish Wainwright was born on August 30, 1981, in Brunswick, Georgia. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Adam Wainwright will make history as he will become the seventh pitcher in St. Louis Cardinals history to start a game after his 41st birthday. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). NL Wild Card Game: Is Adam Wainwright Going To Join Max - Forbes Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Sorry we could not verify that email address. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. 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What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukees Luis Urias in the fourth inning. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. NeverSober1900. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Astros @ Cardinals. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career strikeouts Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Pirates, Cardinals 2022 Opening Day FAQ - MLB.com But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. Your login session has expired. St. Louis Cardinals news fromFanSided Daily, Former San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval heading to LBPRC, Aroldis Chapmans time with New York Yankees comes to inglorious end, Wild Card wrap-up: Mets, Cardinals regular-season paper tigers, Opening Odds for MLB Division Series (Every Team's Odds to Win the ALDS, NLCS), St. Louis Cardinals: Oli Marmol's perfect quote about Wild Card Game 2, Phillies-Cardinals: Bryce Harper wants just 1 thing from Yadier Molina, Decision points: The key moments from Friday's MLB Wild Card games. Will Adam Wainwright make the Hall of Fame? A look at the career of the Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. At least not for starting pitchers. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . . Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. He answers the tough question on if his legacy is enough to get him into the MLB Hall of Fame alongside the all-time greats.Follow all our social media channels for more content!https://twitter.com/FoulTerritoryTVhttps://www.instagram.com/foulterritoryshow/https://www.tiktok.com/@foulterritoryshowhttps://www.facebook.com/FoulTerritoryShowhttps://www.twitch.tv/foulterritoryshow Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). 5th stage: 60-day IL. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. Press release: Cardinals announce 2022 promotions schedule - MLB.com He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. The minute Adam Wainwright is eligible, he will easily cruise into the St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Fame, with the only possible road block being if he gets caught in the midst of a logjam with Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina (though if the Cardinals were ever going to make an exception and admit three people in one year, this would seemingly be the case).
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